Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 3.120135 3.293690 3.477615 3.688066 3.923506 4.180341 4.483860
2025-08-10 2.789231 3.019100 3.274777 3.583641 3.951466 4.382045 4.934658
2025-08-17 2.521526 2.776314 3.069394 3.437630 3.897473 4.467109 5.251801
2025-08-24 2.345565 2.618354 2.940893 3.359824 3.905219 4.616884 5.667297
2025-08-31 2.224350 2.512579 2.861633 3.328672 3.960579 4.827586 6.201057
2025-09-07 2.113117 2.409021 2.774192 3.274634 3.973733 4.975387 6.667982
2025-09-14 2.014072 2.313171 2.687970 3.211866 3.963809 5.082808 7.089601
2025-09-21 1.923484 2.222222 2.601198 3.139552 3.929866 5.144826 7.443318
2025-09-28 1.868091 2.172953 2.565243 3.133193 3.989827 5.360748 8.140917
2025-10-05 1.865208 2.191019 2.619060 3.256517 4.258621 5.968546 9.877268
2025-10-12 1.832922 2.167862 2.614359 3.292898 4.392676 6.364602 11.352585
2025-10-19 1.801486 2.143924 2.606533 3.322890 4.518186 6.769064 13.119170
2025-10-26 1.767813 2.119095 2.601128 3.364506 4.684457 7.331384 16.058647
2025-11-02 1.710558 2.059657 2.543389 3.320429 4.695416 7.572569 18.247694
2025-11-09 1.639885 1.978924 2.450989 3.214695 4.582003 7.507101 19.103355
2025-11-16 1.587218 1.921497 2.390211 3.156419 4.552190 7.639866 21.272457
2025-11-23 1.547944 1.881359 2.352945 3.133943 4.588373 7.950318 25.328742
2025-11-30 1.505361 1.834874 2.303917 3.088212 4.573148 8.124399 29.200935
2025-12-07 1.463154 1.787464 2.251423 3.033163 4.533072 8.222074 33.086327
2025-12-14 1.421094 1.738953 2.195360 2.968716 4.467291 8.232238 36.461987
2025-12-21 1.396013 1.714093 2.174305 2.963303 4.524411 8.631347 48.984680
2025-12-28 1.399854 1.731133 2.218197 3.074464 4.848235 10.045722 163.645754
2026-01-04 1.385359 1.720628 2.218404 3.107227 5.003197 10.985894 NaN